#NAFO, Ukraina and meme war.
Since some glimmer of truth about this war begins to appear sporadically in the newspapers, and this is a person's blog, I would like to retrace "how we got to the war in Ukraine" from a purely personal point of view.
I virtually “fought” the so-called “Meme War” of 2016 to prevent Clinton (and Democrats in general) from going to the White House. I wrote it, and the internet is my witness, as cricket says. The reason, which I wrote several times, is that it was my opinion that the Democrats would cause a nuclear war in Europe, using Ukraine as a pretext.
After Trump, the Democrats came to power, and we are on the verge of a nuclear war in Europe. Now, you can say what you want about my theory, but it remains a theory that allowed me, in 2016, to predict a war of 2022. No other prediction has come true with such precision.
So no, I'm not going to disprove any nonsense that is unleashed against this theory: it's predictive. Therefore, “yet it moves”. You keep your nonsense for internal use. I'm not your psychiatrist, you don't have to tell me everything you dream of.
And for the same reason today I am inside the so-called #NAFO: a Ukrainian victory is the only, faint hope of avoiding a nuclear war in Europe. Countering Russian troll farms during this winter (which will be tough for the economy) is essential. Without the "recalcitrance" of the EU countries, which drag the EU itself, we would end up in the hands of the Visegrad countries, which expect from NATO the same cazzodurista attitude of Putin and Zalensky.
What could possibly go wrong? (apart from a nuclear war being fought in Europe, I mean).
So yeah, I "fight" another shitposting meme war, but this time it's for #NAFO.
I know that now the "mimimimi" will leave: but the Russians are bad, but the civilians die, and so on. Yes. The Russians have an army that fights like in 1945, that is easily beaten, but in 1945 the war was like that. Call Coventry at mealtimes if you don't believe us. Dresden could go too.
And it is certain that it was the most overrated country in recent history, to the point that everyone had believed in its propaganda. But things don't change with the regime change.
Even if Russia were to magically become a liberal democracy because the tooth fairy says so, the day after the democratic election of the new democratic and liberal prime minister, a defense minister would come to his door who would point out "St. Petersburg and Moscow are indefensible. Do something on a diplomatic and / or political level ”.
Since 65% of Russian GDP and 80% of the Russian ruling class run between St. Petersburg and Moscow, this would be taken seriously.
At that point the democrat and liberal would go to the US and try to expose the problem from his point of view, and he would hear the answer "The Expansion of BornNoneNegotiableWeWeareBorgSareteAssimiatiLaResistenzaeeFutile".
At that point he would go back to his generals, asking if there is also a strategic way. The "peaceful" way will be to arm Russia to the teeth. That is, it transforms the nation into an extremely militaristic nation, and then back into a tyranny, and here we go again.
After all, what would happen if Russia wins? It would happen that countries like Moldova would be admitted to NATO with the greatest urgency, and history would repeat itself, right up to the nuclear accident.
Since not even a Russian victory would be useful, the only possible hope, and I admit it is a tenuous hope, is that Ukraine will win.
I say tenuous hope because at least it buys time, hoping that the Republicans will return to power in the meantime. Because not even a Ukrainian victory is simple and peaceful. Let's also suppose that the Ukrainians manage to throw the Russians out of their borders, and then stop there.
Good. Let us ask ourselves: what will Zelensky do now with all those weapons we have given him? does it return them? Does he pay them? No. He will land them and make them part of the new Ukrainian army. So the Russians would have to coexist in a practically NATO army, connected to NATO C4I, and maybe Ukraine at that point would also join NATO? You didn't understand the problem then.
So I repeat, the Ukrainians have to win, but it has to cost them so much that they feel sick at the idea of doing another round of war.
Having said that, therefore, the only thing is to make the Ukrainians win, but not to win big.
And that is why the European states are giving so few weapons to the Ukrainians.
But the problem here is that nobody asks why the US needed this war, and why escalation is needed.
The war was used to take away from Europe its economic energy source, thanks to which European industry was beating the ass to American industry. This war to deindustrialize Europe had to be waged, precisely by the Democrats, to save US industry. Which is (again) at the gas barrel.
Why does it have to climb into nuclear warfare? Because Europe is holding up better than the US thought, and indeed with the decline in the value of the Euro against the dollar we risk compensating for the loss of competitiveness due to the cost of gas.
In any case, the most industrial economies have reacted rather well to a systemic crisis, if you consider that all six German regasifiers are on schedule, and that, expanding both in the North Sea and in the Mediterranean, others are being found. providers.
Moral of the story: this war is not enough and the closure / destruction of North Stream is not enough. So, you can rest assured that the American Democrats are working towards a nuclear escalation.
After all, it is inevitable that it will arrive. Even if we remove the European industry, it is not certain that the American one will replace it. For now Biden is enjoying the return of domestic consumption, saying that heavy industry is growing.
But soon, as has happened in the past, American heavy industry will hit its bottleneck: America's shortage of civilian infrastructure, particularly the archaic rail network and the falling road network.
This is the factor that has slowed down the "American heavy industry booms" six or seven times: it suddenly grows for some technological and fiscal advantage, and then slows down when it comes to industrial logistics that comes out of the "districts" by building a nation-system. The US transportation network is painful, the rivers are badly exploited in this regard and the ports do not coordinate with each other. The roads are in a sorry state, and they are insufficient, nothing comparable to the European network, or to the Chinese one.
If Elon Musk has opened a factory in Berlin it is not because of the engineers, who are not lacking in the USA. It is because a string of cities such as Hamburg, Bremenhafen, Antwerp, Rotterdam and Amsterdam, connected as they are connected by land, cannot find them in the USA. And without that, US heavy industry struggles to export.
As the US heavy industry collides with the internal transportation bottleneck again, the US government will wonder how to do something destructive enough to compromise the functionality of others' infrastructure.
So, the nuclear war in Europe is only postponed.
Therefore, it is not surprising that Germany does not appear to be cooperative. As the first industrial country in Europe they are very clear who is waging war on whom and why.
And with all due respect to Draghi, they will never enter into an alliance with countries they consider so stupid that they cannot even identify their own interests and defend them.
And to say it all, the war could definitely end if only the European public opinion were informed by their mass media, that is if someone (I saw some flashes appear in Limes) explained to them who is fighting who, and why.