And again, Tien an Men.
I see a whole lot of people with no memory talking about Putin's imminent end, and it would be less annoying if these people, instead of the memory of a paramecium, could remember 1989, in China. Tiananmen Square.
What exactly happened? The problem was that China was opening up to Western markets and investments. In the West it was believed that this would slowly corrode the communist dictatorship, then causing protests (as was happening in the West with the collapse of the wall), protests that would inevitably collapse the regime.
The regime didn't like the idea: Westerners thought what they wanted, but what the Chinese government didn't want was for the idea, which was slowly spreading in China, to take hold WITHIN the borders.
So, he decided to send a clear message to the population. Not to the West, which would have invested there even if the regime grated babies (which it did), but the message was aimed at the Chinese themselves.
The message was: be careful, because those protests wouldn't work here, the relationship between the state and the individual is different here.
The government therefore allowed a protest to grow within the universities (an insignificant fraction of the population, which was largely poor and rural), leaving a free hand for a number of Western agitators as well.
But behind it, he was preparing repression. He sent army units from remote areas of China, who did not speak the same language as the protest. He let the protest explode in the square.
Then he crushed it with the force of a military boot that steps on a small frog.
The message for the Chinese was clear:
The meaning of Tien an Men Square, i.e. the military boot that crushes a small frog, was not understood in the West, not even for shit. The most common reaction of our intellectuals was of four types:
- What brand is the boot? Is it Made in Italy? Can we sell him the boot? We will do it!
- What is the meaning of frog in the Chinese horoscope? Which incense should you buy with crushed frog?
- Since the West is the only thing that matters, this must be a message for us. Let alone if the Chinese government sends a message to its citizens. The West comes first.
- In China unions can't demonstrate, so if we produce there we get a shower of money and pussy. Because China is full of pussy, right?
I mean, no one understood shit, except that, as they said to exhaustion, "okay, it was only a matter of time and the Chinese would go over to democracy, and that revolt was just the beginning." What happens in Berlin happens everywhere. (they did not yet know of the greenish beer that is drunk in that place).
In reality, the revolt was indeed the beginning, but it was the beginning of a system of control, indoctrination and repression never seen before. The same regime, but with more technologies and more resources. Thanks to the West.
So let's go back, take the four lessons we (should) have learned from the Chinese staging, and apply them to a similar staging set up by Putin. Point by point.
- If we stopped adoring Western products like totems, from carbonara to the iPad, perhaps we would understand that for a dictator trade is a tool, but not a power.
If he has to sell you the boot he will, if he has to buy your boot he will, all as long as this tool brings him power . Your shop, even if you call it a "corporation", does not affect the politics of a dictatorship.
And the Chinese said it to your face when they took Jack Ma and re-educated him by running a hot soldering iron up his ass for three months straight. He's a different man now. And they always show him standing. He is said to have trouble sitting down. The economy is a tool, but not a power.
But when Putin does it, with people falling out of windows or feeling sick after tea, the message doesn't get through. What the fuck does Putin have to do to make you understand that a dictator doesn't fear the rich because they are rich? Grate one and make Prosecco with it?
- There is no substantial difference in human peoples when one looks at political mechanisms. All dictatorships are dictatorships and make dictatorships, all democracies make democracies, all oligarchies make oligarchies. Just change the sauce. Homo Sapiens remains Homo Sapiens, that is the same species as Alba Parietti.
Putin made it clear that he doesn't want another 1917. Right. But Putin is nostalgic for Soviet Russia, which he considered too ideological, but in itself a superpower whose status to recover. Soviet Russia is that of the Great Patriotic War. After all, it was never the intention of the Soviets to surrender and exit the war, on the contrary:
https://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comunismo_di_guerra
But if he doesn't mean the Bolshevik revolution itself (after all, he parades with a red Soviet flag), what does Putin mean when he talks about "we don't want a 1917 back"? A quick reading of some history book, and…
https://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rivolta_di_Kron%C5%A1tadt
The sailors, i.e. the military, who rebel against the central power and create local republics. It is not necessary to hypothesize profound astrological and newage cultural differences to understand Putin. A decent history book is enough.
- Whether we like it or not, Putin doesn't give a damn about sending messages to the West. It has a propaganda apparatus for that. The message in question of this "rebellion" is entirely internal, and is directed to the military. To HIS soldiers.
"If you rebel, perhaps you will prevail militarily, but I will field forces that come from afar, that you cannot touch, and that can open your ass".
Look at the map:
Throughout his journey, Wagner had Ukraine in the east, which could not reach him. But just above the point where they (coincidentally) stopped, the Wagnerites in the east had Belarus. Where the Russians have put a lot of troops, air forces, and whose Root Root, aka Lukashenka, is very eager to kiss Moscow's ass.
In practice, going north, Wagner would have found himself surrounded. In a beautiful plain. Surrounded on three sides. The Salient of Salient. Oops.
Moral: a nice message to the generals. “Moscow moves on a larger chessboard than yours. If you revolt, remote forces that you don't control come into play."
- Little political squabbles, with all the provincial and corrupt crap that feeds the Western press today, Putin doesn't give a damn. The Republic does not threaten its power, Donna Moderna will not unleash the next revolution in October and the Holy Lady will not overthrow the Minsk regime.
This hopeless antics was not aimed at the West, the Western press or any "intellectual", much less Di Feo who does not understand what he reads even in the form of an enema: "it is easier to put something up his ass than up his head", as they say in the salons of Romagna-well.
What Putin fears is that very powerful generals will build their own independent republics, starting a disintegration of Russia. Case in which it couldn't do anything about it. As happened to Krostandt. In 1917.
And if Wagner's Boss goes to enjoy his retirement in Belarus, (for the "less males": a source of pure pussy, under thirty what we call "supermodel" for them is the crazed high school ) until a Moscow assassin kills him , I wouldn't want to be in the shoes of the Rostov generals, who didn't even try too hard to pretend to be enemies of Prigozhin. And no, there will never be a “republic of Rostov, or Belgorod, or all together, federated under a Russian general. Which Putin fears: it would be a buffer state between Ukraine and Russia, but an absolute disaster for Moscow.
And if I were a general somewhere in Yakutia, I'd try to reassure Putin.
So, I'm sorry, but this staging was a message to your generals, not the West. And no, it's not the beginning of any disintegration: if anything, it's the remedy.
Since I enjoy the status of a shitty old man, and I'm a Knight of the Sacred Order of the Boomer, as well as Dean of the Sacred Combat School of Comacchio (simple masters make me feel at home, I'm The Dean), I would like to add one thing.
Years ago, in the late 90's/early 2000's, I wrote a book, “Other Robots”. In the book, Russia was called the "New Tsar" because I imagined that Putin, in order not to lose power, would restore the church-tsar diarchy, having himself crowned Tsar of all Russia by the Patriarch of Moscow, and creating the Putin Dynasty . (which, as I wrote in the book, are certainly not the Romanovs).
The military war, on the field, between Russia and the EU, took place in about ten years, with shots of weapons guided by AI (in the book: class K robots, where K stands for killer) and took place in Moldova.
Now, I'm not saying science fiction always gets us.
However'…
