And again Covid.

Since there is still talk of Covid, and this time India has exploded, I think it is time to understand one thing: in terms of strategies to reduce the deaths locally, we are using nineteenth-century strategies, but all in all robust. In the sense that, if riots do not break out, curfews and quarantines of all kinds work.

But the question is “what are we doing against the pandemic”?

And no, the two are not the same. We are doing a lot against the virus, but "pandemic" means that it happens in at least 100 countries, that is, it is a global event. What are we doing to stop the pandemic, which is the global event?

I ask because when a new variant explodes in India, immediately after a festival that brought 70 million people from all over the world to the Ganges, you have to ask yourself some questions. We are talking about a new variant (and hope that it is only one, because smaller countries have developed 2/3, I would not be surprised if India had produced 40.50 variants) which starts from a base of infected that soon it will be a billion and a half billion people out of 8 on the planet.

And it is useless to delude ourselves: everything was not going well in Chernobyl. China will sooner or later do the same thing. And many others will follow in Asia.

And here we come back to the point. What are we doing on a global scale? Then:

• Europe has decided to sell vaccines to the world, knowing that everyone will ban exports until everything is resolved. I mean, never at this rate.
• The US, UK, China and India, the other vaccine manufacturers, are keeping them tight and will not export them. Until the end. Too bad that the end is not in sight.
• The rest of the world fails to develop industrial strategies that can lead to the production of vaccines.

But this method, each for their own nation, does not answer our question: what are we doing against the pandemic.

I don't think it is necessary to go against the tide if I say, as I did a year ago, that vaccinating with slower campaigns than the virus to produce mutations is useless if not to select mutations that bypass the virus.

But if we repeat this mistake on a global scale, having campaigns running at different speeds in different countries, we will never get out of it.

They are singing victory because Europe will be vaccinated by the end of the summer. Aha. And Biden is also preparing to celebrate. Aha.

And then, suddenly, India says "hold my beer, please". And the epidemic explodes in such an uncontrolled way that it will not be possible to regain control until 6-12 months. Now in Asia there is a country of one billion and 400 million people, with soft borders (it means that the Indians travel a lot in Asia, they have a lot of relations with the Gulf countries, etc. It means that a species has exploded. of bacteriological bomb.

And now? And now we just have to hope that the 40/50 Indian variants are all vaccine controllable. If they are not, a second vaccine will be needed, first in India and then in the rest of the world (but the opposite would be better).

Do we want to solve the problem in India? Let's say that the Indian government is able, using whatever they want to use, to stem the problem. And then? And then Nigeria. And then Egypt. And then Europe again, for the new mutations.

If we fight it like this, the war against the pandemic is a war that we cannot win, it can only last forever.

Because we are fighting the virus with local strategies, but our problem is the pandemic, that is the global spread of the virus. It is necessary that all the handsome leaders of the UN come together and understand that only a global strategy can stop that virus.

The vaccination strategy must be global, not even a continental one is enough. All the same curfew / lockdown, or none. All the same vaccination campaign. All the same vaccines.

When you say this, scientists look down on you saying "it will season" like the flu "and we feel calm because we don't fear the flu.

But what they are trying to tell us is that every fucking year in the fall we have new lockdown measures, against the new variant, and a new vaccine, campaign that will last until March / April.

Every fucking year. From now on. For each of the damned possible mutations of the coronavirus, plus the recall of the old vaccinations, which last only 6/8 months. Because if we don't act globally, even the old virus will survive somewhere in the world and will come back to attack us.

Surely, this is the godsend for vaccine manufacturers. But we can't spend every winter in such a nightmare.

Fighting the virus is fine. But the pandemic must also be fought. That is its global spread. If we fight the virus but not the pandemic, we have transformed the war on covid into a war as Orwell described it: “the war that is not made to be won, but to last forever”.

Do not believe those who tell you that "soon we will reach herd immunity": the pandemic is global, therefore herd immunity is reached at about 6/7 billion vaccinated people . There is no local immunity with a vaccine that lasts 6/8 months, a vaccination campaign that lasts 6 months and neighboring countries that develop variants. It is a beautiful and good lie.

A pandemic is a global phenomenon. Either a global strategy is developed, or it will NEVER end.

It will not end'. Never.

UN, WHO or whoever for them must begin to work and throw rattles at all those states that believe they can "achieve herd immunity by themselves". It's a lie. It's like believing that “the titanic sinks, but cabin 38 doesn't”.

It is not a problem of "equality between nations in distributing vaccines": it is a problem of size… of the problem. You can't just save cabin 38 of the Titanic.