And it’s getting closer …
And so we learn today that the Russians are approaching other divisions around Ukraine in order to encircle it. And that Biden expects a Russian attack within weeks.
Congratulations.
And I say "congratulations" because it was predictable and avoidable. I congratulate you because the reason why the US wants a war, preferably a nuclear one, in the middle of Europe, is that a destroyed Europe is a weak Europe, which they will then be able to "buy" in aid.
When I say that I supported Trump's campaign against Hillary because Hillary (ie the Democrats) wanted a (nuclear) war in Europe, people shrugged.
We stopped the American whore, and we got another four years. But now another Democrat is back, and he's doing what Clinton would have done. A beautiful war in the middle of Europe.
I had already written that Biden's threats would have no effect, but only gained time, with Putin changing his strategy. And it happened. Now the encirclement is increasing, and he will be able to take Kiev sooner.
Now people say "eh, okay, it will be war, but who tells you it will be nuclear?". Simple: the script of the fiction they are selling says so.
BUT especially the fact that both sides have built new nuclear weapons, and that they both have to prove them in some way, says so.
But it is not necessary:
There are about fifteen nuclear power plants in Ukraine. The perfect place to make a war, huh? A power plant is hit / sabotaged, and we have another Chernobyl. Handsome.
Biden's crazy solution now is to sell arms to Ukraine. Sure, so the Russians will have to use even more weapons. And then we will give Ukraine even more weapons. Until the escalation reaches the tactical nuclear weapons.
The new weapons, to try absolutely. And we will have to try even if hypersonic weapons pierce the defenses, and what better testing ground than Europe?
Whose fault is it? Both of them. Because they both have the strategic perception of the fascist. Which reads: "I make my move, then I make my move again, then I redo my move, and obviously the opponent does not move, and the scenario remains motionless". This is the strategic thinking of the fascists.
Putin attacked Crimea and then Dombass, and thought the Ukrainians would stay put. Obviously they trained (now there are almost 30,000 Ukrainian soldiers capable of C4I) the soldiers with the help of the West and obviously sought other political godparents. That is, they have moved closer to NATO.
And finally now the Ukrainians are moving in the direction of western orbit. It would be enough to ask how the Ukrainians would have reacted in the medium and long term.
Same thing Biden did. Continue to extend NATO to the border with Russia. Obviously, in Fascist thought this means nothing, because in Fascist strategic thought the opponent remains stationary.
Instead Putin has ordered the production of a new generation of weapons which is extremely brutal, technologically backward, but absolutely dangerous. And now everyone wants to lead their hands.
The blame is spread by both sides.
But Biden has a plan, which is the same as the Clinton period. That is the "Fuck the UE" plan. Because from a war in Ukraine all the US hopes is that the EU collapses, that some well-placed blows (then we will begin to exchange accusations about who hit the nuclear power plant) Europe will go to its knees, united or not, to ask the USA for help.
It is therefore not surprising that the German government refused to send weapons to the Ukrainians. They would only force the Russians to increase the means they are accumulating to attack the Ukrainians. And clearly Germany does not want to get involved in a war in Europe.
In a defense-attack case, one must always count ~ 3X means of defending. This means that arming another 50,000 Ukrainian soldiers to high levels of operation means forcing Putin to deploy another 150,000 men.
And troop movements are noticeable: Putin needs a FAST victory if he wants to stay in power, so he will have to do EVERYTHING to overthrow the Ukrainians. Hitting nuclear power plants is one thing, for example. And once the area is radioactive, tactical nuclear weapons will spin like swallows.
When will Putin attack? The moment WE don't want there to be a war. That is, in the coldest moment of winter, when gas is needed.
The answer is that it is already late in March, and therefore Putin has a window that reaches up to mid-February, at the latest.
Biden also needs a quick win. Not so much for the Mid Term elections, but because it has to counter Trump's propaganda, which could be his next challenger, of having created a losing America.
The problem is that it cannot engage directly and has few allies willing to do so. The thing he doesn't see as possible, that is, is the complete dissolution of NATO.
The reasoning he makes is completely wrong, because it reflects the fascist's vision. He says "since Ukraine is NOT a NATO country, even if they invade it, NATO does not make a bad impression".
But in reality, if Putin advances in Ukraine, it is more and more dangerous for the born. The Baltic republics will understand many things from this reaction. (in parentheses it is not clear why Kaliningrad still exists). Just as many things other countries will understand.
The possibility exists, that is, that if NATO does not defend itself from a threat at the borders, (regardless of whether Ukraine is inside or outside) it will be considered useless and that each country decides to link up with a godfather. Or to form one. The only country with nuclear weapons in Europe is France, (the UK is to be excluded as a godfather), so we will have to start from there.
My personal opinion is that in this situation neither of us will get anything out of this war.
- Putin has eliminated opponents outside his party. But this only strengthens the opponents WITHIN the party. The result is that to date Putin DOES NOT KNOW who his biggest enemy is. He'll learn if the war isn't a blazing victory, which it can't really be.
- Biden believes this opportunity will serve to calm Trump's dialectic and bring Germany down, which dared to build railways to trade with China, and of course gas pipelines. Knowing the Germans, the best you will get is leaving NATO. Germany does not need to go out in person: letting out a vassal country is more than enough to make it collapse.
But the problem is not what will happen to Putin and Biden, the problem is what will happen to us.