April 29, 2024

The mountain of shit theory

Uriel Fanelli's blog in English

Fediverse

The end, it seems.

The war in Ukraine has reached the point where the most unpleasant and disappointing thing happens. It is the one in which the Russians take the cities and capture (or kill) the Ukrainian leaders. It had to happen given the disproportion in the field, and in the end, given enough time, it will happen.

And it's about to happen.

After all the euphoria for the heroic Ukrainians, the Russians are about to take the cities, even at the cost of carnage. As I said, Putin wants to lose to NATO.

He is also preparing a whole series of scapegoats:

  • firing the heads of the secret service is absurd. There was no reason to "predict" the Ukrainian resistance, after 8 years in which the "Ukrainian resistance" had fought them in Dombass. There is no need to "predict" something that has been going on for eight years. And "officially" (for the Russians), Putin attacked Ukraine precisely to eliminate that guerrilla.
  • firing generals for sending conscripts is just as absurd. If there are shortages of professionals such as to have to use conscripts, it is because professionals are not well paid enough (not for nothing they almost all come from the poorest areas of Siberia) and many other structural problems of which Putin cannot. not be in the know.

They are therefore scapegoats, which Putin intends to gamble because if NATO does not enter the war, he must explain to the population why it has lost 6,000 people, and it is easy to speculate that they are the least trained and least experienced. Of those 6000 deaths (which IMHO will soon reach 10,000, plus deserters) he will have to account for the population, especially with the conscripts.

There are those who hope that the Ukrainian fighters will now go to warfare in rural areas.

Granted and not allowed that the Russians leave the larger cities after having established a puppet government, the problem is that the Ukrainian army is made up of more than one hundred thousand people. And I am sorry to inform you that keeping the guerrilla logistics in place for a hundred thousand scattered guerrillas is very difficult, even more than with a hundred thousand soldiers.

Surely not all Ukrainians will surrender, (the new government will certainly make some form of amnesty trying to lure home the most exhausted departments. Then it will show Ukrainians everywhere who surrender to weaken the morale of others), but unless of miracles we must expect, after the troops have entered the cities, a collapse of the resistance.

Then maybe there will be a resurgence, but it will not be as powerful as the stay behind organized so far.

It is the part that will least adapt to the dialectic of the Ukrainian heroic who plays the partisan, obbellacciao, bellacciao. It will be disappointing. And the time is coming.


One wonders how the ass-lick press will react. Because after the Russian takeover, there will surely be a sunny day in Ukraine. And at the first photo of a beautiful sunny day with people returning to life, the "entrepreneurs" (essentially, pigs without conscience) will say that I want the Russian turnover back, and their newspapers will start writing that "deep down now in Ukraine is better, maybe Putin is not very bad and now there is peace in Dombass ”. And the sanctions will go away.

I expect it, and it will be the time when we ourselves fail ourselves. Because, as far as we can tell, North Stream is still there, Schröder is still there, and SPD has always had a "pro-Communist / pro-Russian / bastachesiacyrillic" side ready to do new business, and the same goes for ENI, the League, the part of the left that drools to see the Cyrillic, and all those "neither with one nor with the other, the asses are all good to lick".

Here, after the moment when we will be disappointed by the sad end of the Ukrainian heroes, the moment will come when we will be disappointed by the "West united as never before", by the "EU united as never before", fantastic animals and where to find them.

Nothing is more disappointing than the poor performance of oneself.


But let's go on: once the Russians have captured or killed the Ukrainian president, or maybe tried for crimes against humanity (it would be typical of the Russians), what would happen?

It is not known. For a reason. If a Ukraine in NATO is a thorn in the side of the Russians, a Ukraina in Russia is a thorn in the side of NATO.

And knowing the US desire for a nuclear war in Europe, I don't think it would end here.

They will probably also bring Sweden and Finland into NATO.

They want a nuclear war in Europe, and they will do anything to get it.

But for a few weeks, let's get ready for the time of disappointments.

Empty rhetoric always leaves behind a period of disappointment. And a lot of it has been used, really a lot.

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