Today is a beautiful day, and I think I will take advantage of it for a Nordic walking tour through the hills of Neandertal. The beauty of a government that trusts citizens is that I am asked to be socially prudent. But I don't have cops on the streets that stop me.
So I'll do my very prudent home / office until April 19, the same for my wife. And my daughter will use her moodle for school. And I can go for a walk.
But the real question is whether the "normalcy of before" can really return.
I mean the case of the Home Office. Until now, we went to the office mainly to satisfy the pathological narcissism of some manager who wanted to have the sense of "having a team". To be able to “have the pulse of the situation”. Lately my management has changed a lot (for the better), but at that point the clients came in, who want to "see the job they pay for".
In general, lacking the method of measuring productivity, one was content to observe fatigue . But now they can measure productivity. So they do not care, and it 's why we had already' a policy for the home office.
But we should ask ourselves what would happen if it continued for, say, a year.
Already today the intelligent ground lighting system has turned off the lights in our offices, and the same happens with heating. Managers, who are in any case a minority, have already decided to use offices in colocation (in practice you rent them, you make the meeting with the customers and you leave: according to what these companies say, after they will be disinfected) for meetings with customers . In practice, the hotel in business hours.
How long will it be before they notice the huge cost of offices for 2000 people (only those in Germany)? Shortly. If we continue to produce as soon as possible and the costs drop, they will notice it immediately. Customers are doing the same. Customer 1 has ~ 280,000 employees, of which ~ 120,000 are in the Home Office today. Those who have to work on the physical network are coordinated from home, go from home to point X to repair the fault. Logic is the minimum path.
For goodness' sake, they were all optimizations that could be done even before, but a whole series of habits (also union ones) had forbidden it. But today they are imposed.
Even from a white collar point of view, I find myself with two hours more time per day. I cook whatever I want at home, sticking to a more sensible diet, and not to the "less worse" that I used to find around. I spend less money, clothes, and I'm out of town. I spend less on gas.
This is happening to millions of companies and millions of people. What slowly they will get used to. They will get used to all these advantages. Companies will get used to all these savings. My daughter's school, after reaching 50, was to be demolished and rebuilt. Will they do it after a year when the students have done everything online? Or will they make them go, one by one, to school for the oral tests? (or maybe in a much smaller office).
The economic push is enormous. Next year we will tell a population that for one year has sent the dresscode to fuck off, that has sent traffic to fuck, a generation of companies that has sent immense costs to heat and maintain offices, to return as before.
Will they do it? In my opinion, no.
It's not just people's inertia. It is also the cost for companies.
Don't fool yourself, normalcy is dead .